European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.In the direction of pan-consumption, there were more than 50 stocks with daily limit, and the concept of big consumption continued to strengthen. Retail, food, home, ice and snow industries and other branches set off a wave of daily limit, and Zhongbai Group, Youhao Group, Huifa Food, Panda Dairy, Wole Home and Meike Home exceeded 50 stocks with daily limit.The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.
In the first ten months, Jiangsu's ship exports exceeded 60%, ranking first in the country. According to Nanjing Customs statistics, from January to October this year, Jiangsu exported 85.84 billion yuan of all kinds of ships, ranking first in the country in terms of export scale, with a year-on-year increase of 63.2%. The exports of three main ship types, namely, tankers, container ships and bulk carriers, increased by 179.5%, 91% and 16.2% respectively.The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, warning that economic growth will slow down. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3%, and warned that economic growth will be weaker than its previous forecast. This is the fourth time that the European Central Bank has cut interest rates since June, bringing the benchmark interest rate to its lowest level since March 2023. At the same time, the European Central Bank warned that the euro zone economy will only grow by 1.1% in 2025, lower than its forecast of 1.3% in September. It was widely expected that the European Central Bank would cut interest rates. Investors expect that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates more than the Federal Reserve next year, because it is widely expected that the economic growth of the euro zone will lag behind that of the United States. The euro zone's export-dependent economy is also vulnerable to Trump's threat to impose tariffs of up to 20% on all American imports.China Chengtong and China Yizhong set up an enterprise management center with a capital contribution of 6.25 billion yuan. According to Tianyancha App, Zhongcheng (Beijing) Enterprise Management Center (Limited Partnership) was recently established. The executive partner is Yizhong Group Sunac Technology Development Co., Ltd., with a capital contribution of 6.25 billion yuan. The business scope is enterprise management and enterprise management consulting. It is owned by China Chengtong's Beijing Chengtong Capital Investment Co., Ltd., China Yizhong Group Co., Ltd. and its subsidiary Sunac Technology Development Co., Ltd.
Korean media: The director of the South Korean Police Department who was arrested in an emergency for "civil strife" was sent to the hospital due to the deterioration of his health. According to Yonhap News Agency's latest news from the police on the 12th, Zhao Zhihao, the director of the South Korean Police Department who was arrested in an emergency on suspicion of "civil strife" in the early morning of the 11th, has been sent to the hospital for treatment due to the deterioration of his health. (World Wide Web)Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.After the European Central Bank decided not to interest rates, the yield of euro zone government bonds changed little; The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 1 basis point to 2.14%.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide